Happy Mutant Profile
Michael Davies
Cal State University fires Quaker for inserting "nonviolently" into loyalty oath
March 3, 2008 9:30am
Apple as High Roller
September 8, 2007 6:35am
It looks to me as though Apple played a twin-track strategy here.
The core strategy was to launch a bleeding-edge, early adopter device to the Apple faithful, take their knocks from the critics, learn their lessons about what they'd failed to understand about this new market. They would then be in a position to make some software upgrades in time to make the device more attractive in time for the Christmas rush, and then release a second-generation device with wider appeal, and a better price-point some time next year. Standard Apple strategy.
The secret 'reality-distortion field' vision was that the critics would love the iPhone, and sales would start very strong and stay that way, meaning that demand was potentially insatiable. Amortise your costs over sales say 5x what your core strategy estimated, and suddenly there's a ridiculous amount of margin to play with.
Sacrifice all that excess margin, and you've got a insanely great product for the price. You're wiping the floor with all the smartphones, and many of the high-end phones, and you've got the buzz that means that their new, competing products are all still-born.
You've got AT&T getting customer conversions out the wazoo, you're only 20 months away from the end of your deal, and all the telecoms companies are getting edgy about Google's bid for wireless spectrum. Everyone will want to cut you a deal (siooma, AT&T).
You've got a potentially massive revenue stream from your cut of all those accounts. You've got iTunes music and ringtones revenues ramping up (siooma NBC).
Steve Jobs is probably now looking five years down the line, where 'smartphone' means '60% Apple, 39% other brands, 1% ZunePhone :-), and smartphones all that anyone buys in the west...
DISCLAIMER: Please note that I'm not going all fanboi here, and saying any of this is bound to happen because Jobs can do no wrong, but if you take something like that as his vision, you can understand why he thought the risk of upsetting a few of his old 'Apple Computer' customers was worthwhile.
I'm just glad I'd not bought one!
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The US seems to have had a fascination with loyalty oaths for many years; Joseph Heller captured the many ridiculous aspects of them in Catch-22 (apologies for the length, but it's pure gold):